Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 101.377097 111.945214 122.714806 134.485397 146.962645 159.770418 173.886527
2025-12-14 82.204218 97.628933 114.054605 132.739478 153.297984 175.127289 199.956957
2025-12-21 69.437175 88.369604 109.369338 134.120133 162.232023 192.924355 228.723314
2025-12-28 60.802945 82.529632 107.539755 137.947239 173.424996 213.055083 260.217270
2026-01-04 52.957412 76.583551 104.768909 140.039467 182.199811 230.249471 288.427292
2026-01-11 47.136942 72.348309 103.429032 143.333592 192.043784 248.509743 317.865964
2026-01-18 41.981702 68.322254 101.839376 145.916357 200.758405 265.306119 345.596544
2026-01-25 34.357801 60.160615 94.287889 140.457354 199.182704 269.497647 358.198255
2026-02-01 28.778925 54.144847 88.959256 137.308440 200.038594 276.295158 373.671066
2026-02-08 24.724044 49.834183 85.512682 136.252320 203.250157 285.774406 392.261479
2026-02-15 21.985361 47.177272 84.090813 137.673045 209.481869 298.906686 415.294656
2026-02-22 20.497353 46.310774 85.086468 142.286970 219.830615 317.209876 444.779240
2026-03-01 18.400076 44.265094 84.287935 144.448967 227.088103 331.857463 470.117397
2026-03-08 15.879121 41.182948 81.719504 143.970449 230.748577 341.924512 489.817768
2026-03-15 14.255771 39.482780 81.109512 146.179575 237.982728 356.593269 515.387346
2026-03-22 13.272811 38.846886 82.086303 150.649801 248.306855 375.319812 546.211889
2026-03-29 11.989007 37.453563 81.737431 153.101677 255.834077 390.431467 572.522148
2026-04-05 11.049973 36.620506 82.212876 156.723693 264.966138 407.667706 601.615046
2026-04-12 10.060186 35.539207 82.184941 159.533938 272.950971 423.421899 628.883351
2026-04-19 7.871827 31.424677 76.708335 153.788489 268.686753 422.813684 634.972131
2026-04-26 6.337808 28.457872 72.952170 150.470421 267.688610 426.423478 646.428934
2026-05-03 5.280811 26.424259 70.689844 149.361793 269.766555 434.105361 663.170299
2026-05-10 4.635682 25.347380 70.103117 150.876016 275.631160 446.918063 686.678493